2024 Senate Election Outlook: Dems on Defense
January 30, 2023
34 Seats in the Senate are up this cycle as Democrats defend their two-seat majority.
Why it matters: Republicans have the best opportunity to take the majority in 2024 as vulnerable Democrats in red states are up for reelection.
By the numbers:
- Democrats are defending 23 of 34 Senate seats this cycle
- 5 of the 23 seats (Michigan, Montana, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin) are considered “Lean D.” These seats are competitive, but the incumbent Democrat still has the advantage.
- 3 seats (Arizona, Ohio, and West Virginia) are considered “Toss-ups.”
- Republicans are defending 11 seats in safe red states: Florida, Indiana, Missouri, Mississippi, North Dakota, both Nebraska seats, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, and Wyoming.
Biggest Races To Watch:
The bottom line: There are 645 days until election day on Tuesday, November 5, 2o24, a lifetime in politics. Over the next 22 months, CREFC will highlight the most important races to watch in this cycle.
If you have any questions about the 2024 election cycle, please reach out to Chelsea Neil at cneil@crefc.org.