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CRE Finance World Winter 2016

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longer than those of the same age in past generations. Rather than

retiring to quiet rural locations, a growing number of empty nesters

are seeking urban locations where they can enjoy theater, restaurants,

sporting events and more.

Location is another aspect. Some Boomers are maintaining

primary or secondary apartments within proximity to their families

instead of permanently moving to locales such as Florida and

Arizona. That would help explain some of the demand for high-

priced luxury apartments that are proliferating in urban locations

but seem to be priced out of reach of the Millennial generation.

Conclusion

Forecasting demand for commercial properties is an inexact

science, and is subject to broad shifts in the economy and social

trends that are notoriously difficult to predict. That said, except in

dire economic circumstances, demand for rental properties will

almost certainly continue to be robust in the next decade and

beyond. The growing population and demographics of the increase

in residents will produce a steady increase in demand for units and

current social trends indicate that a growing share of the demand

will be for multifamily units. In particular, growth in the size of the

Boomer generation, combined with economic and social forces,

is likely to produce growing demand for rental properties among

households headed by individuals ages 55 and up in coming years.

While we are bullish on the concept of increased multifamily demand,

development should be targeted, since demand will increasingly

involve housing that caters to the needs and aspirations of specific

consumer groups. Developers must be careful to build the type

of product that matches demand. What’s more, demand won’t be

consistent across the country but will be concentrated in pockets

where job growth is strongest and Millennial and senior households

want to live.

Led by Boomers, Multifamily Demand to Remain Robust

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“The size of the Boomer generation, combined

with economic and social forces, is likely to

produce growing interest in rental properties

among households headed by individuals age

55 and up in coming years.”

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