Florida Redistricting: A Potential GOP Expansion

April 14, 2026

Florida has become yet another state eager to participate in a wave of mid-decade redistricting ahead of the 2026 election. 

Why it matters: This redistricting effort is part of a broader national redistricting push, with both parties redrawing maps mid-cycle in an attempt to secure control of the U.S. House.

By the numbers: Today, the state’s congressional maps passed in 2022, already tilted heavily toward the GOP, stands at 20 Republicans and 8 Democrats across 28 seats. 

  • Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) has called a special legislative session for April 20, at which the Republican-controlled legislature is expected to begin debate on creating a new congressional map.
  • Early projections suggest the new map could yield as many as five additional GOP-leaning seats, potentially shifting the delegation from 20–8 to as much as 25–3.
  • Notably, the upper end of that range may be aggressive and legally contested. The effort is explicitly aimed at flipping Democratic-held districts, particularly in North Florida and parts of Central and South Florida.

Yes, but some Republicans are nervous about further diluting Republican votes across the state. 

  • In a March special election for a state legislative district, the Democratic candidate flipped a traditionally GOP seat, representing a 21-point swing in favor of Democrats in comparison to the 2024 election. 
  • This result is putting some Florida GOP members on edge about redistricting diluting their traditionally reliable GOP seats. Narrower partisan advantages could mean more Republicans lose seats in an election that heavily favors Democrats. 

I think the Legislature needs to be very cognizant of the fact that if they get too aggressive … you could put incumbent members at risk,” GOP Rep. Greg Steube said

Source: Politico

What’s next: The special session to consider redistricting is set to start on April 20, 2026. Once state lawmakers convene it will soon become clear if this effort will have the political capital and time to have an impact on the 2026 election.

Contact James Montfort (jmontfort@crefc.org) with any questions.

Contact  

James Montfort
Manager,
Government Relations
202.448.0857
jmontfort@crefc.org
The information provided herein is general in nature and for educational purposes only. CRE Finance Council makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, validity, usefulness, or suitability of the information provided. The information should not be relied upon or interpreted as legal, financial, tax, accounting, investment, commercial or other advice, and CRE Finance Council disclaims all liability for any such reliance. © 2026 CRE Finance Council. All rights reserved.

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